Self-harm not always a sign of serious mental health problems

[ Back to EurekAlert! ] Public release date: 2-Nov-2012
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Contact: Jonas Bjrehed
jonas.bjarehed@psychology.lu.se
46-462-224-581
Lund University

Knowledge is needed in order not to over-interpret the behaviour of the young people, according to psychologist Jonas Bjrehed, who has recently presented his thesis at Lund University in Sweden.

Jonas Bjrehed and his supervisor Lars Gunnar Lund carried out a survey of 1,000 young people in southern Sweden which showed that four out of ten young people had at some time intentionally hurt themselves.

The researchers have now broken down the data and it appears that only a small minority of the young people self-harm on a regular basis and in a way that can be compared with self-harm in adults with mental health problems.

"It is important that school and health professionals know how to deal with young people who self-harm. They need to react appropriately and not judge all young people alike," says Jonas Bjrehed.

"For many of these young people, the behaviour seems to be fairly mild and often of a temporary nature. It may be viewed as a matter of experimentation or problems that are not of a serious nature."

When Jonas Bjrehed began his research six years ago, knowledge about self-harm was limited among many professional groups that come into contact with young people.

However, the situation is improving: Nowadays, knowledge of eating disorders in young people is well established among school and health service staff.

Jonas Bjrehed hopes that awareness of self-harm will also become as widespread. Even if all young people who self-harm do not suffer from mental illness, the behaviour can become a vicious circle: once a person has started, the risk is greater that they will continue and the self-harm causes their mental health to deteriorate.

Jonas Bjrehed calls self-harm the teenage disease of our day: "It is not the first time young people worry those around them with new types of behaviour," he says, giving the examples of the increase in eating disorders in the 1970s and 80s and the 'hysterics,' who worried those around them at the turn of the last century by fainting for various reasons.

"Nowadays, we are grappling with the fact that many signs of stress and mental illness appear to be increasing in our society, especially among young people, without us really understanding why. The fact that many young people suffer mental health problems during a time in their lives when they are in the process of becoming adults and developing the skills they need to contribute to society has become a serious public health problem.

An important challenge is to understand this trend and the signs of mental illness that we are seeing in young people, in order to be able to take the necessary measures to prevent it or provide help," says Jonas Bjrehed.

###

For more information, please contact Jonas Bjrehed on +46 46 222 45 81, +46 702 608045 or email jonas.bjarehed@psychology.lu.se

Jonas Bjrehed defended his thesis on 28 September. The thesis is entitled "Characteristics of Self-Injury in Young Adolescents: Findings from Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Studies in Swedish Schools".


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AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert! system.


[ Back to EurekAlert! ] Public release date: 2-Nov-2012
[ | E-mail | Share Share ]

Contact: Jonas Bjrehed
jonas.bjarehed@psychology.lu.se
46-462-224-581
Lund University

Knowledge is needed in order not to over-interpret the behaviour of the young people, according to psychologist Jonas Bjrehed, who has recently presented his thesis at Lund University in Sweden.

Jonas Bjrehed and his supervisor Lars Gunnar Lund carried out a survey of 1,000 young people in southern Sweden which showed that four out of ten young people had at some time intentionally hurt themselves.

The researchers have now broken down the data and it appears that only a small minority of the young people self-harm on a regular basis and in a way that can be compared with self-harm in adults with mental health problems.

"It is important that school and health professionals know how to deal with young people who self-harm. They need to react appropriately and not judge all young people alike," says Jonas Bjrehed.

"For many of these young people, the behaviour seems to be fairly mild and often of a temporary nature. It may be viewed as a matter of experimentation or problems that are not of a serious nature."

When Jonas Bjrehed began his research six years ago, knowledge about self-harm was limited among many professional groups that come into contact with young people.

However, the situation is improving: Nowadays, knowledge of eating disorders in young people is well established among school and health service staff.

Jonas Bjrehed hopes that awareness of self-harm will also become as widespread. Even if all young people who self-harm do not suffer from mental illness, the behaviour can become a vicious circle: once a person has started, the risk is greater that they will continue and the self-harm causes their mental health to deteriorate.

Jonas Bjrehed calls self-harm the teenage disease of our day: "It is not the first time young people worry those around them with new types of behaviour," he says, giving the examples of the increase in eating disorders in the 1970s and 80s and the 'hysterics,' who worried those around them at the turn of the last century by fainting for various reasons.

"Nowadays, we are grappling with the fact that many signs of stress and mental illness appear to be increasing in our society, especially among young people, without us really understanding why. The fact that many young people suffer mental health problems during a time in their lives when they are in the process of becoming adults and developing the skills they need to contribute to society has become a serious public health problem.

An important challenge is to understand this trend and the signs of mental illness that we are seeing in young people, in order to be able to take the necessary measures to prevent it or provide help," says Jonas Bjrehed.

###

For more information, please contact Jonas Bjrehed on +46 46 222 45 81, +46 702 608045 or email jonas.bjarehed@psychology.lu.se

Jonas Bjrehed defended his thesis on 28 September. The thesis is entitled "Characteristics of Self-Injury in Young Adolescents: Findings from Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Studies in Swedish Schools".


[ Back to EurekAlert! ] [ | E-mail | Share Share ]

?


AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert! system.


Source: http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2012-11/lu-sna110212.php

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Superstorm Sandy Liveblog: As storm diminishes, New Yorkers in darkness ( video)

Having flooded New York with record surges and leaving one million New Yorkers without power, Sandy is now expected to weaken as it travels further inland.

By Staff,?CSMonitor.com / October 29, 2012

New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg says lower Manhattan is dealing with massive power outages and huge floods. He's urging residents not to call 911 unless it is a life-threatening emergency. (Oct. 29)

Tuesday 12:15 a.m.

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The National Hurricane Center has issued its final public advisory for Sandy, the hybrid storm that has shut down stretches of the US East Coast from Virginia to Maine.

New York City is still reeling. The Associated Press reports that powerful storm surges have overwhelmed the financial district and inundated the city's subway system. More than one million people in the city's metro area are without power.

At a press conference, Mayor Michael Bloomberg has warned residents not to call 911 unless it is a life-threatening emergency, and has told New Yorkers to stay put. "You have to stay wherever you are. Let me repeat that. You have to stay wherever you are," he said.

The National Hurricane Center still warns of 75 mph maximum sustained winds, with gusts of even higher speeds. Over the next two days, Sandy is expected to weaken as she creeps across Pennsylvania and then turns north into western New York State.

"The worst of the weather has come," said Bloomberg.

Monday 10:45 p.m.

As Hurricane Sandy bears down on the East Coast, many are asking if the so-called Frankenstorm was caused by ? or at least fueled by ? global warming.

The Huffington Post's Tom Zeller quotes Kevin Trenberth, head of the Climate Analysis Section at the USA National Center for Atmospheric Research, who describes Sandy as representing "the new normal."

"The past few years have been marked by unusually severe extreme weather characteristic of climate change." Trenberth told HuffPo. "The oceans are warmer and the atmosphere above the oceans is warmer and wetter. This new normal changes the environment for all storms and makes them more intense and with much more precipitation."

At the New Yorker, journalist Elizabeth Kolbert points to a press release by the German reinsurance giant Munich Re, titled "Severe weather in North America." It shows a nearly five-fold increase in the number of damaging weather-related events in North America over the past three decades, compared with a four-fold jump in Asia, a 2.5-fold leap in Africa, and two-fold increase in Europe and 1.5-fold in South America.

"It is, at this point, impossible to say what it will take for American politics to catch up to the reality of North American climate change," writes Kolbert.

Definitively blaming manmade climate change for Hurricane Sandy's size and intensity is impossible. After all, the world has experienced damaging hurricanes long before humans began burning fossil fuels. At most, we can say climate change simply increases the odds of such storms.

Still, one odd signal jumps out. Sandy, which has been dubbed a Frankenstorm by forecasters, is a hybrid storm created when a slow-moving, unusually wavy Arctic jet stream from the north wrapped itself around a tropical storm from the south. A study published in January 2012 found that, as Arctic ice melts, the darker water absorbs more heat, which causes the jet stream, which is propelled by north-south temperature differentials, to slow down and become wavier.

Is Superstorm Sandy a result of climate change? Nobody knows. But what we do know is that Sandy is an example of what climate change looks like.

Monday 10:05 p.m.

Police, fire, and EMS scanners in New York City reveal that Sandy is keeping emergency responders very busy tonight. There are widespread reports of flooding throughout the city, people stranded, and at least one death. Here are some recent incidents:

TRAUMA ALERT
10/29/12 20:02
(QUEENS - ) UNITS ON SCENE OF A TREE DOWN ON A PERSON, AIDED DEAD ON SCENE/DECEASED [NYC055]
TECHNICAL RESCUE
10/29/12 20:00
(BROOKLYN - ) MALE STUCK ON TOP OF GARBAGE TRUCK DUE TO HIGH WATER, NATIONAL GUARD ENRTE [BCC022]
TECHNICAL RESCUE
10/29/12 19:49
(BROOKLYN - 154.370) L-168 REQ. IMMEDIATE ASSISTANCE - PEOPLE TRAPPED IN FLOOD WATERS, COLD RESCUE SUITS REQ. [NZL111]
1 ALARM FIRE
10/29/12 19:34
(QUEENS - 154.400) E-268 REPORTS WORKING FIRE IN A DWELLING, EXPOSURE PROBLEM BUT UNABLE TO COMMIT DUE TO FLOODING. [NZL111]
TECHNICAL RESCUE
10/29/12 19:33
(QUEENS - ) NYPD 100PCT SURROUNDED BY WATER- REQ. ESU & BOATS TO EVACUATE OCCUPANTS. [MAS163]

These reports are delayed up to two hours. You can listen to the scanner bands yourself at radioreference.com

Monday 9:30 p.m.

The latest update from??the National Hurricane Center reports huge storm surges in New York Bay: 13.3 feet at Kings Point on Long Island, 13.7 feet at the Battery in New York City, and 13.3 feet at Sandy Hook, New Jersey.

Reuters is reporting that Con Ed shut down power for two areas in Lower Manhattan to protect electrical equipment. The news agency reports that there are some 156,000 customers in New York City and Westchester County now without electricity.

More dire safety concerns could mean that power could be turned off for many more: The Associated Press reports that nuclear power regulators are keeping a close eye on wind speeds near reactors in five states. If sustained winds top 74 mph, the plants will go offline, per safety procedures.

Monday 8:30 pm

Sandy's eye?is now over land, according to the National Hurricane Center, with sustained winds of 80 miles per hour.?

From here we can expect Sandy to lose intensity, but the East Coast is by no means out of the woods yet. ?According to the NHC, tide guages have measured storm surges of almost 12 feet at Kings Point on Long Island, 8.4 feet at the Battery in New York City, and 8.6 feet at Sandy Hook, New Jersey.

Monday 7:15 pm

The National Hurricane Center is now designating Sandy as a "post-tropical cyclone," albeit one that still has hurricane-force winds:

SATELLITE...RADAR...AND AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT SANDY HAS CONTINUED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. ?NHC IS NOW DESIGNATING SANDY AS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. ?IN ADDITION...THE MAXIMUM WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLYAND ARE NOW NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H.

As Sandy transitions from a hurricane to a tropical low, it will stop powering itself primarily by extracting heat from the oceans; instead it will churn as a result of horizontal?temperature differences in the atmosphere.?

Fox News reports that Sandy has made landfall?in southern New Jersey just after 6 p.m., but this has not yet been confirmed by the National Hurricane Center, which reported at 7 p.m. that the storm will hit land within the next hour or so. ?

When Sandy arrives, it is very likely that it will be at or near Atlantic City. New Jersey On-Line reports that the Garden State's governor, Chris Christie, has issued an angry rebuke to Atlantic City mayor?Lorenzo Langford, who did not require residents to evacuate.

The Monitor's Mark Clayton reports that, by 6 p.m., some 2.1 million people were already without power in nine eastern states.

Monday 5:20 pm

With sustained winds of up to 90 miles per hour, Hurricane Sandy is expected to make landfall somewhere along New Jersey's southern coast sometime within the next "couple of hours," according to the most recent update from the National Hurricane Center.?

Sandy is big. The NHC update says to expect hurricane-force winds, that is, winds of more than 55 mph, up to 175 miles from her center, along all portions of the East Coast between?Chincoteague, Va. and Chatham, Mass. Tropical-storm-force winds?(35 mph to 55 mph) are forecast for 485 miles from the center.

Sandy, which is approaching the shore at 28 mph, is not expected to weaken before it makes landfall, although it will very likely become less intense once its eye is over land.?

The NHC warns of storm surges from North Carolina to New Hampshire, with particularly strong surges ? up to 11 feet ??occurring?in Long Island Sound, Raritan Bay, and New York Harbor. ?

Writing from New York City, the Monitor's Ron Scherer reports that?Connecticut Gov. Dannel Malloy?predicts that Sandy would bring two times more water into Long Island Sound than Hurricane Irene, which caused about $19 billion in damages.?

Monday 4:15 pm

The eye of Hurricane Sandy is now 2-3 hours from the coast of New Jersey, according to the latest National Hurricane Center advisory. Winds are still at 90 mph, and Sandy's still moving at about 28 mph. Some have speculated that since Sandy is arriving sooner than forecast, and ahead of the high tide (between 8-9 p.m. tonight), that the storm surge won't be as bad as predicted. But that reasoning may be wrong.

Already the storm surge at New York City's Battery is at 6.1 feet, well above last year's peak during Hurricane Irene. Atlantic City is reporting a 5- foot storm surge. New Haven, Conn. is at 5 feet, and Boston has seas 4.2 feet above normal.

As previously reported, the expected storm surge in the NYC area is 6 to 11 feet. Even if Sandy makes landfall before the high tide, the winds whip around the backside of Sandy will push sea levels higher.

Monday 3:05 p.m.

Hurricane Sandy's barometric pressure has dropped to 940 millibars. Wind speeds are holding at 90 mph, according to the 2 p.m. National Hurricane Center update.?

Sandy is turning toward the East Coast and has sped up to 28 mph. Even as it makes a left turn, "it also is swapping energy sources to become an extratropical cyclone.

The shift from tropical to extratropical tends to intensify the storm for a period, as well as redistribute winds and rainfall in ways that can shift the regions most heavily affected by wind and rain,"?writes Pete Spotts, the science writer for The Christian Science Monitor.

If Sandy retains the current barometric pressure, or it drops further, at landfall, the location would go into the record books as experiencing the lowest barometric pressure of any spot in the US north of Cape Hatteras, according to data compiled by the Weather Underground.

Monday 2:50 p.m.?

Google has put together a crisis map for Hurricane Sandy, which overlays lots of different data about the storm ? including its current position and forecast track, storm surge probabilities, traffic conditions, and emergency shelter locations ? into a single interactive image. ?

Also, be sure to check out this mesmerizing map of wind conditions across the United States. It was developed a few weeks by Google data visualization experts Fernanda Vi?gas and Martin Wattenberg, in part to help people conceptualize the potential of wind energy, but the map is particularly striking on a day like today.?

How does Hurricane Sandy compare with Irene, which battered the East Coast from South Carolina to Maine last year? Take a look at this interactive image from the Wall Street Journal.

Irene was the fifth costliest hurricane in US history.

If you're interested in how Sandy compares to every cyclones recorded since 1851, check out this graphic from the Guardian.?

Finally, if you haven't had enough scenes of reporters getting pelted by sea foam, people buying bottled water, or Fox News weathercaster Janice Dean throwing air quotes, have a look at Poynter's collection of animated gifs of hurricane clich?s.

Monday 1:45 pm

What's all the buzz about Hurricane Sandy's barometric pressure? (And does it have anything to do with inducing labor in pregnant women?)

Hurricane Sandy's barometric pressure is really low, especially for a Category 1 (winds between 74-95 mph) hurricane.

Generally, the lower the barometric pressure, the higher the winds.

Barometric pressure is a measurement of the weight of the air. "Baros" is Greek for weight, and the Greek word for measure is "metron."?A barometer measures the weight of a column of air directly above a given point in terms of inches or milibars of mercury displaced.

The normal sea level pressure is 1013.25 millibars.

Hurricane Sandy's barometric pressure was 943 milibars Monday morning, according to the Hurricane Hunters, the US Air Force pilots that regularly fly into the eye of hurricanes. That reading was a drop from the previous reading, indicating an intensification of the hurricane.

Hurricane Sandy's barometric pressure is now roughly equivalent to the typical Category 3 or Category 4 storm on Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. But Sandy is not a typical hurricane; it is, in the words of ?Weather Channel meterologist Stu Ostro,?a?"meteorologically mind-boggling combination of ingredients."

But we digress from role of barometric pressure. Suffice it to say, Sandy's barometric numbers are low, and they are helping make it a very big storm.

How low are Sandy's barometric readings??The storm isn't (yet) in the US Top 10 most intense (as measured by low barometric pressure) hurricanes. But Sandy's getting close. No. 10 on the list was a Hurricane Carla, a 1961 Category 4 storm with 931 millibars.

The lowest barometric pressure ever measured in a US hurricane was 882 millibars, in Hurricane Wilma in 2005. Wilma had sustained winds of more than 185 mph, making it a Category 5 storm.? The cyclone with the lowest recorded barometric pressure in the world was the 1979 storm Typhoon Tip, in the western Pacific Ocean, with a measurement of 869.9 millibars.

Why does a lower barometric pressure in the eye of the storm produce higher winds?

"Wind is a result of forces attempting to balance. As the pressure lowers in the center, the air spiraling around the eye must spin faster to offset the greater ?slope? (gradient) of the pressure surface," according to Steve Lanore, who uses the analogy of a ball spinning around the edge of a bowl to explain this.

There's also a good graphic of that explains the correlation between barometric pressure and hurricane wind speeds from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

Oh yes, is Hurricane Sandy likely to induce labor?

Most obstetricians who have looked at this say no. But the theory has some logic to it. Some have put forth the idea that as the atmospheric pressure drops, there's less pressure on the amniotic sac membrane, and it spontaneously ruptures ? causing the woman's water to break.

But Dr. Salih Yasin, a practicing obstetrician for 25 years in Miami, who told My Health News Daily that he has not seen any increase in women going into labor during hurricanes. And Florida gets its fair share of hurricanes and tropical storms. He mentions two studies ? one in Houston and one in Miami ? that show no correlation between falling barometric pressure and births.

Monday 12:15 p.m.

?
Forecasters are warning that storm surges will be particularly strong thanks to the high tide, which coincides with the full moon.?
What does the amount of light reflecting off the moon have to do with the tides? Our friends at OurAmazingPlanet explain that the tides are influenced not just by the gravitational pull of the moon, but also that of the sun:

At full moon, the Earth, sun and moon are arranged in a line, with Earth in the middle. Tidal ranges are especially high at this time because the gravitational tugs of the sun and moon on our planet reinforce each other. The same effect is felt at new moon, when the three bodies all line up, with the moon between Earth and the sun.

During periods of high winds, a spring tides makes storm surges more severe. AccuWeather quotes MIT atmospheric scientist Kerry Emanuel, who calls storm surges "interesting," a word that scientists often use as a synonym for "very bad."

"They are one of the major sources of damage caused by hurricanes," says Emanuel. "They are like tsunamis but they are not generated by earthquakes but by hurricane winds."

Monday 11:15 a.m.

Hurricane Sandy is strengthening, and moving a little slower as it starts its turn west, according to the 11 a.m. National Hurricane Center advisory.
Sandy now has maximum sustained winds of 90 mph, up from 85 mph at the 8 a.m.

It has slowed its north-northwestern movement from 20 mph, to 18 mph. And is expected to make landfall this evening "just south of the Southern New Jersey coast."

Monday 10:50 am

If high winds and storm surge weren't enough, several states are now experiencing snow as Sandy mixes with the low pressure ridge along the East Coast, in the Appalachian range, some higher elevations of North Carolina and Tennessee are already getting snow.

?And the National Weather Service expect blizzard conditions in some higher elevations of West Virginia.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
625 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012
...FIRST WINTER STORM IS A BLIZZARD FOR THE HIGH TERRAIN...
.THE REMAINS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL COMBINE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW TO PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS
COUNTIES.
...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
* LOCATIONS...VERY ELEVATION DEPENDENT WITH THE BEST CHANCES
? ACROSS HIGH TERRAIN...BUT CAN NOT BE RULED OUT IN THE VALLEYS.
* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...RANGING FROM 1 TO 6 INCHES BELOW 2000
? FEET...TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE 3000 FEET.

At 8 a.m. snow was falling in Boone, N.C., according to?WRAL.com.

In the Great Smokey Mountains, there are reports that 6.5 inches had fallen in places and that Highway 441 near the Newfound Gap was now closed. The headline on?Knoxnews.com:
"Snow from 'Frankenstorm' already hitting Smokies; 441 closed."

The National Weather Service report for Morristown, Tenn. in eastern Tennessee, has a Winter Storm Warning through Wednesday morning. The report includes:

_ A deep plume of moister will move over the spine of the Appalacians, result in in the potential for rain showers and snow showers in the valleys and some locally heavier snowfall across the higher elevations.
- Gusty northwesterly winds associated with this strengthening storm system will increase to 25-35 mph, and may gust up to 40-50 mph across the mountains.

The greatest potential for significant snowfall will be along the higher mountains ? with 6-12 inches possible above 3,000 feet.

But the National Hurricane Center is still predicting larger snowfalls in some areas of the Appalachians.

SNOWFALL..SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THEMOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TODAY THROUGHWEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OFSOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY BORDER...WITH 12 TO 18 INCHESOF SNOW EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEEBORDER AND IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MARYLAND.

Atlantic City flooding as storm surge begins

Monday 9:10 a.m.

With the arrival of the morning high tide, flooding has begun in the streets of Atlantic City. There are unconfirmed reports that parts of Atlantic City's boardwalk have collapsed.

In Atlantic City, winds are gusting to tropical storm strength. All 12 casinos were shut down at 4 p.m. Sunday after Gov. Chris Christie declared a state of emergency for the entire state.

By 7:30 a.m., the streets immediately around the new Revel casino and hotel were covered with more than a foot of water, witnesses said.
Parts of Black Horse Pike in West Atlantic City, Route 30 and Route 9 in Absecon, Route 559 in Somers Point and Route 322 in Hamilton are already flooded, county officials said. Roads in Hamilton Township and Mays Landing were also impassable, reports NJ.com.

In Cape May the ocean has also breached the main oceanfront drive, Ocean Avenue, near the city's southern end, the Associated Press reports

New Jersey is also seeing power outages. As of 3:30 a.m., PSE&G is reporting 829 customers without power due to the early effects of Hurricane Sandy. Of that total, 794 of the outages are located in Deptford Township in Gloucester County. As of 5 a.m., JCP&L reported about 5,000 customers without power in Burlington and Ocean county, including more than 4,000 in Toms River, reports NJ.com.

RECOMMENDED: Five ways to prep for a hurricane

Monday 8:40 am.

The National Hurricane Center 8 a.m. report indicates that Hurricane Sandy is now starting to pick up speed (moving at 20 mph) and turn west. The blocking high pressure area in the north Atlantic will send Sandy on a sharper turn toward the coast later Monday morning.

Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft have clocked Sandy's sustained winds at 85 mph, with higher gusts, as far as way as 175 miles from the eye of the hurricane. As we've said this is a BIG storm. Tropical storm force winds (above 39 mph) extend almost 500 miles from the center of the storm. That means tropical force winds are now pummeling the coasts of New Jersey, Delaware, and Easter Virginia.

From the National Hurricane Center report: WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...OR GALE FORCE WINDS...ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES FROM NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO LONG ISLAND.? GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST...NEW YORK CITY...AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATER THIS
MORNING.? WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE COULD REACH THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND...LATER TODAY.
WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL.

Storm Surge Outlook

?

Monday 8:15 a.m.

As predicted, Hurricane Sandy has strengthened in the last 24 hours. It has begun it's turn toward the? East Coast. The barometric pressure has dropped to record levels, the winds have picked up to about 85 miles per hour, and Sandy has grown in size. Sandy now spans 1,000 miles. While it's still at least 300 miles from landfall, tropical storm strength winds (sustained winds above 39 mph) are already being felt on shore.

Record storm surges are expected, which is why hundreds of thousands of residents from Maryland to Connecticut were ordered to leave low-lying coastal areas. Some 375,000 people were ordered to leave lower Manhattan and other parts of New York City.

NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are predicting storm surges of 6-11 feet in the New York City area. How bad is that? For context, during Hurricane Irene last year, the storm surge at Battery Park hit 4.4 feet. The maximum surge during Irene was 4.5 feet in the New York City area, at Kings Point.

Currently, the storm surge is already at 4 feet at Kings Point, according to the Weather Channel.

Here's the National Hurricane Center 8 a.m. outlook on storm surge:

NC NORTH OF SURF CITY INCLUDING PAMLICO/ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...4 TO 6 FT SE VA AND DELMARVA INCLUDING LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 3 FT LONG ISLAND SOUND...RARITAN BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR...6 TO 11 FT ELSEWHERE FROM OCEAN CITY MD TO THE CT/RI BORDER...4 TO 8 FT CT/RI BORDER TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF CAPE COD INCLUDING BUZZARDS BAY AND NARRAGANSETT BAY...3 TO 6 FT CAPE COD TO THE MA/NH BORDER INCLUDING CAPE COD BAY...2 TO 4 FT MA/NH BORDER TO THE U.S./CANADA BORDER...1 TO 3 FT

Check out the predicted storm surge map at Wundergrund.com.

SEE YESTERDAY'S HURRICANE SANDY LIVEBLOG: SUNDAY OCT. 28

RECOMMENDED: Are you scientifically literate? Take the quiz

Source: http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/science/~3/o5BJhYLUKnA/Superstorm-Sandy-Liveblog-As-storm-diminishes-New-Yorkers-in-darkness-video

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PFT: Will Jets LB be fined for Bush comments?

Washington Redskins v New York GiantsGetty Images

Week Seven was a very lucky week for yours truly.? With an unlucky 13 games on the schedule, I got 12 of them correct, with only a late comeback from the Titans blocking an unprecedented piece of perfection.

More importantly, MDS and I disagreed on three games.? Thanks to the Cowboys, Saints, and Colts, my two-game season-to-date lead has been extended to five games.

For the year, I?m now 67-37, and MDS is 62-42.

MDS will join Thursday?s PFT Live to discuss this week?s picks.? There will be no gloating.

At least not by him.

Buccaneers at Vikings

MDS?s take: After I was burned by picking the Bucs last week on the way to going 0-for-3 on games where I disagreed with Florio, I?m playing it safe this week. Tampa Bay still looks to me like a team that?s headed in the right direction, but right now the Vikings have too much for the Bucs on both sides of the ball and should win this one comfortably.

MDS?s pick: Vikings 27, Buccaneers 13.

Florio?s take:? The Vikings get a chance to show how different they are this year against one of the teams to whom the Vikings blew a big halftime lead last year.? This time, if the Vikings are up by 10 or more at the break, look for them to close it out with a defense that finally is good enough to hold leads.

Florio?s pick:? Vikings 21, Buccaneers 19.

Panthers at Bears

MDS?s take: Cam Newton is going to bounce back from this slump he?s in eventually. He?s too talented not to. But the Bears are the wrong team for a young quarterback to bounce back against. Chicago?s relentless pressure will force a few turnovers and lead to another loss for the Panthers.

MDS?s pick: Bears 20, Panthers 10.

Florio?s take:? Rattled by the ouster of G.M. Marty Hurney, racked by injuries, and reeling from the sad-sack demeanor of Cam Newton, the Panthers are poised to get plastered.

Florio?s pick:? Bears 31, Panthers 10.

Chargers at Browns

MDS?s take: The Chargers have had two weeks to lick their wounds after that disastrous Monday night meltdown against the Broncos. They?ll come in to Cleveland focused and motivated and win this one comfortably.

MDS?s pick: Chargers 31, Browns 17.

Florio?s take:? If Mike Holmgren?s current team can knock off the Chargers, the Chargers could be Mike Holmgren?s next team.? Though a house-cleaning could still be coming, the Chargers will likely do enough to reverse a bad two weeks of blown leads and stickum, allegedly.

Florio?s pick:? Chargers 24, Browns 17.

Seahawks at Lions

MDS?s take: Mistakes keep killing the Lions, whether it?s penalties, turnovers or special teams coverage breakdowns. If the Lions could get out of their own way they could go on a run down the stretch and still contend for a wild card berth, but that doesn?t look likely at this point. Seattle is the team that looks like a playoff contender, and the Seahawks will take another step in that direction with a win on the road.

MDS?s pick: Seahawks 17, Lions 14.

Florio?s take:? If this one were set for Seattle, it would be a no brainer.? In Detroit, the Seahawks have an opportunity to prove that they?re capable of beating better-than-bad teams in a place other than CenturyLink Field.

Florio?s pick:? Seahawks 17, Lions 16.

Jaguars at Packers

MDS?s take: In the biggest mismatch of the week, the Jaguars? offense will look even worse than usual without Maurice Jones-Drew, and Aaron Rodgers will have his third consecutive huge game.

MDS?s pick: Packers 34, Jaguars 3.

Florio?s take:? The Packers have never beaten the Jaguars at Lambeau Field.? Then again, these teams have played there only once.? The Jags will want to forget their second trip to town.

Florio?s pick:? Packers 45, Jaguars 21.

Dolphins at Jets

MDS?s take: I?m impressed that the Jets aren?t going down without a fight. When they lost Darrelle Revis and got blown out by the 49ers, I figured the Jets were finished, but they?ve played good football for the last three weeks, even if they have only one win to show for it in those three games. The Jets will beat the Dolphins in a low-scoring game and get back to .500.

MDS?s pick: Jets 13, Dolphins 10.

Florio?s take:? Despite the injuries and the ineffectiveness and the uncertainty, the Jets have improved over the past few weeks.? They?re good enough to complete the sweep of a Dolphins team that has improved even more discreetly.

Florio?s pick:? Jets 30, Dolphins 20.

Falcons at Eagles

MDS?s take: The Eagles know their backs are against the wall, and the Falcons have been scraping by with three straight close wins. This looks to me like the day when the Falcons? luck runs out, and the last unbeaten team in the league gets beaten.

MDS?s pick: Eagles 24, Falcons 21.

Florio?s take:? Andy Reid is 13-0 after the bye week.? Sometimes, there?s no need for elaboration.

Florio?s pick:? Eagles 24, Falcons 23.

Redskins at Steelers

MDS?s take: The Steelers took a big step toward the playoffs with last week?s win in Cincinnati, and I like them to keep it going against the Redskins. Look for Steelers tight end Heath Miller to have a big game against the Redskins? defense, just as Giants tight end Martellus Bennett, Vikings tight end Kyle Rudolph and Falcons tight end Tony Gonzalez have in the Redskins? last three games.

MDS?s pick: Steelers 28, Redskins 27.

Florio?s take:? The Steelers are 20-2-1 at Heinz Field against NFC teams.? But Heinz Field has never seen anything like RG3, who?ll run circles around a Polamalu-free Pittsburgh defense.

Florio?s pick:? Redskins 23, Steelers 20.

Patriots at Rams

MDS?s take: The Rams? secondary has been playing well and the Patriots? secondary has been leaving receivers wide open, and I?m tempted to pick the upset for that reason. But with Danny Amendola hurt I don?t think the Rams have the ammunition to take advantage of the Patriots? problems on defense, and I think New England?s running game can churn up yardage at Wembley Stadium and lead the Patriots to a low-scoring win.

MDS?s pick: Patriots 16, Rams 10.

Florio?s take:? The team whose name pays homage to the men who kicked the butts of the Brits like to kick butt in Britain.? Though it won?t be a blowout like it was three years ago against the Bucs, the Pats should be able to build a fourth-quarter lead.? And hold it.? For a change.

Florio?s pick:? Patriots 27, Rams 21.

Colts at Titans

MDS?s take: Titans running back Chris Johnson took advantage of a bad Bills defense last week, and he should be able to take advantage of a bad Colts defense this week. Johnson will go for about 150 yards and the Colts? offense won?t be able to keep up.

MDS?s pick: Titans 28, Colts 21.

Florio?s take:? The winner of this one won?t likely challenge the Texans for the division crown but would be very much alive for a wild-card berth.? The Titans continue their knack for playing in ? and winning ? exciting games.

Florio?s pick:? Titans 27, Colts 24.

Raiders at Chiefs

MDS?s take: I?m not a believer in Brady Quinn as the Chiefs? long-term answer at quarterback, but as a short-term fix who won?t turn the ball over as often as Matt Cassel, Quinn should be able to lead Kansas City to a home win over a bad team.

MDS?s pick: Chiefs 20, Raiders 16.

Florio?s take:? Oakland has won five straight times at Arrowhead Stadium.? With an extra week to prepare and everyone on the hot seat, if the Chiefs don?t beat the Raiders at home now, they possibly never will.

Florio?s pick:? Chiefs 24, Raiders 10.

Giants at Cowboys

MDS?s take: Completing a season sweep of the Giants would go a long way toward getting the Cowboys into playoff contention, but I don?t see it happening. The Cowboys? defense will miss linebacker Sean Lee, Giants quarterback Eli Manning will have a big day, and the Giants will improve to 4-0 all time at Cowboys Stadium.

MDS?s pick: Giants 31, Cowboys 20.

Florio?s take:? The Cowboys aren?t nearly as good as they were in Week One, when they beat the Giants in New Jersey.? The Giants are the same, but this time they won?t get complacent.

Florio?s pick:? Giants 35, Cowboys 27.

Saints at Broncos

MDS?s take: Two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks will be on the field in Denver, but Drew Brees has to play against a good Broncos secondary, while Peyton Manning gets to play against a terrible Saints secondary. Advantage Peyton.

MDS?s pick: Broncos 42, Saints 21.

Florio?s take:? When he was the head coach of the Panthers, John Fox held his own against Sean Payton?s Saints.? This time, Fox has a great quarterback ? and the Saints don?t have Payton.

Florio?s pick:? Broncos 38, Saints 28.

49ers at Cardinals

MDS?s take: The Cardinals? great start to the season may come to a screeching halt on Monday night.? A home loss to a division rival would be tough for Arizona to overcome, and a win at Arizona will be another step for the 49ers toward establishing themselves as the clear favorites to win the NFC West.

MDS?s pick: 49ers 20, Cardinals 13.

Florio?s take:? Once atop the NFC West, the Cardinals are close to completing their slide to the basement.? Blame it on the lack of a high-end quarterback and an offensive line to protect him.

Florio?s pick:? 49ers 24, Cardinals 13.

Source: http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/10/25/maybins-comments-maybe-could-get-the-leagues-attention/related

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Quick And Easy Ideas For Email Marketing Strategies | Debbie Clark ...

Many people want to use email marketing but are unsure of how to get started. Many business owners are in the dark on how to attract subscribers to their email lists, and this article can help you figure out a strategy that works.

Give your customer a clear choice to opt in to your email marketing, and an easy way to opt out, in order to build customer confidence. If you fail to do this, you will destroy the trust of your existing customers and generate negative word of mouth. You may also find yourself blacklisted by some ISPs, making even bigger problems for the campaign and business.

Major holidays are generally not the best time to send marketing emails. During these times, people are likely to be preoccupied with personal issues, vacations, and inundations from various other outlets. This isn?t a hard-and-fast rule, obviously. Emails about special promotions like Black Friday are exceptions to this.

Your content should be written for real people, not something just to deceive the spam bots. By writing for individuals and not the spam bots, you will likely escape them anyway and you will keep your consumers intrigued. If you solely focus on using methods that will escape spam filter, your messages will likely be boring and readers will quickly delete them.

Don?t underestimate the power of your email marketing layout. Graphics are attractive, but they increase the chance that spam filters will block your email. Put anything that is vital in plain text to ensure that your customers see it. You can post a full version of your newsletter, including graphics, on your website and put a link to it in your newsletter.

Consider the general weekly schedules of your readers and the purpose of your newsletter when deciding which day of the week is the best to send out your mailings. For business emails, send between Tuesday and Thursday. Newsletters with a leisure bent, conversely, are best emailed over the weekend to grab the most audience.

No business or website wants to be accused of spamming. Take every precaution you can to protect your company?s integrity. You can do this by adding an opt-in procedure. Essentially, everyone who has signed up for your email list will then get an email from you requesting that they confirm their subscription. The email should include a link to confirm, as well as a link to refuse the subscription. Doing so protects your client?s security and ensures that they don?t think you are spam.

Be consistent in your email marketing format to help establish your brand. Whether you are dealing with a name, subject or overall email design, try and make it somewhat stable, so that it can become recognizable as time progresses. Work your way into your customer?s memory by sticking with the same overall design.

One way to improve an email marketing campaign is to organically build a list. Avoid purchasing email lists of people who did not ask to receive your messages. Instead, gradually increase your email list by adding the addresses of people who show an interest in your business.

Create subjects which are succinct. Your subject line should have no more than 60 characters to optimize the chances that it gains your customers? attention. Emails with brief, captivating subject lines are much more likely to be opened by customers than emails with wordy, protracted subject lines. If you absolutely have to use a longer subject line, place the most valuable info at the very beginning of the sentence so it will not disappear when the subject is shortened.

It?s an excellent idea to have a link where customers can unsubscribe from your email listing. You always want to have an unsubscribe link, and don?t keep it buried someplace where people cannot see it. All of your users should feel as if they have a choice, without feeling pressure from you.

Use the information you have gotten here to understand how you can make email marketing work for you. Therefore, ensure that you keep in mind all the knowledge that was provided, and carefully read it again and again so that it can soak into your brain.

Debbie Clark is an enthusiastic online entrepreneur dedicated to helping others achieve financial freedom and business success through social media, network marketing, and online networking. 
PS
Click here to Sign up for Debbie?s ~ FREE~ Marketing Mastery E-Course Debbie works with a group of leaders in a united cause helping network marketers and aspiring new online entrepreneurs, regardless of their experience, to generate additional revenue and create more success in their home business. Click Here to Learn Step by Step how to get to $1000/day blogging Connect with Debbie on Facebook on Twitter@debbieclark15 and on Google+

Source: http://www.debbieclarkonline.com/quick-and-easy-ideas-for-email-marketing-strategies/

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Driving improvements in A&E services ? Foundation Trust Network ...

Posted on October 25, 2012. Filed under: Emergency Medicine |

Driving improvements in A&E services ? Foundation Trust Network [UK] ? 24 October 2012

?A&E departments are a beacon to patients in need of emergencymedical care.These departments offer guaranteed access 24 hours a day seven days aweek to patientswith a range of health needs.The volume and complexity of patients continues to increase and NHS providers of these services are facedwith significant challenges and cost pressures.

To meet these challenges acute trusts are implementing initiatives to deliver safe, timely and high quality clinical care inA&E.This FTNBenchmarking study brings together 11 acute trustswithA&E services ranging frommajor specialist trauma centres to primary-care-led urgent care centres.Using comparable and validated information on their services these trusts shared best practice and developed action plans to improve their services.?

? continues on the site

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Source: http://kinwahlin.wordpress.com/2012/10/25/driving-improvements-in-ae-services-foundation-trust-network-uk-24-october-2012/

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Lots of updates going out and Amazon Mobile picks up Windows Phone 8 support

WP Central Lots of updates going out and Amazon Mobile picks up Windows Phone 8

Just like our London busses, you wait around for ages and then they all come at once. It seems that someone has flicked a switch somewhere and released a few updates today for Windows Phone.

Of particular note, Amazon Mobile on its way up to version 1.9.1 and picks up support for the oh-so close Windows Phone 8. It?s good to see some developers with early access readying their apps for the shiny new operating system which is only days away.

As regards to the Amazon Mobile update, we can?t say if it?s going to bring any new WP8 specific features or just being brushed up so that it works.

Also in the update to-do list today is

Xbox Live Extras ? No change log (tsk tsk!) ? I am unable to login to this at the moment with an error ?We can?t access you avatar items, try later? so cant see what has changed, if you see something, do let us know.

Ceton Companion App ? Brings a host of minor updates including Password authentication support and improved syncing and recording adjustments.

Podcatcher ? Adds support for podcast audio and video streaming, podcast description improvements and some other UI changes.

Nokia?s App Highlights ? No change log (tsk tsk!) But we know Nokia are constantly updating this to help improve app discoverability.

Good to see the updates train up and running again, if you are seeing any interesting updates going out, do let us know.

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/wmexperts/~3/b8zMeuTnYX8/story01.htm

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Tablet PCs Have Changed The "Rules" Of Website Design ...

Technology today has meant that everyone who owns a mobile phone or a tablet PC can access the Internet on their devices no matter where they are. No one has to use either a laptop or static computer to get online whether for business purposes or pleasure.

This has meant that many people who want websites built for them have to rethink just how they need to go about it. Web designers have been faced with the new challenge of where the ?fold? should appear on the smaller and larger displays that people use. Many website designers predict the death of the fold and have done so for quite a while now.

This is due to the fact that people who surf the Net no longer need to be on 19? monitors with resolutions of anything between 1024 x 768 and 1280 x 700. Screens today can be as small as those in iPhones or as large as a 60? HDTV. But it is not just the resolution that can be dramatically different as the aspect ratio of screens today can change by the slightest movement.

Whereas in the old days ?above the fold? was the area of a webpage where all the important information would appear and where eye catching imagery as well as the call to action buttons would be placed so that viewers did not have to scroll down the page to glean any information they needed to find, today this no longer applies even though in the past it was a matter of debate.

Today web designers have come to understand that the balance of a page is the all important factor as to how the page works. The fold still has to be adhered to, but the need for viewers to scroll down the page has gained importance in so far as anyone looking at the page discovers more things of interest as they go down it.

The top of the page needs to grab the viewers? attention, but they then need to be encouraged to find out more information by being tempted to scroll down it. The point is that no one can now claim that the ?fold? is in a specific place anymore as there are too many variables which come into play for this to be possible.

Some website designers believe that the first fold should still contain the eye catching information but then there should be a second fold which would have an added bonus for those who are using mobile devices and tablet computers, and that by applying an approximate ratio instead of basing it on fixed pixel measurements, you would indeed be designing a relative effective web page.

People who surf the Internet today scroll down web pages, they have to so the tendency to automatically do this is greatly increased. This offers web designers a lot more scope as to where they place information on the page. The now common day use of tablet PCs has opened the door to a new way of looking at webpage designs and therefore the whole concept of how a website should appear.

Eddie Yu

Since graduating from Leeds University in 1997, Eddie Yu has been involved in various Entrepreneurial activities throughout his career, and eventually having built up a part time business between 2001-2003, he went full time in 2004 with Lady Luck Media. Before then, he has worked for British Aerospace, FNX and Derivatech, where he consulted for top tier banks such as Bank of America, ABM Amro and Bank of China. Eddie firmly believes that with social entrepreneurship and technological advancements we can create a world without offices and impact climate change for the betterment of our planet.

Since graduating from Leeds University in 1997, Eddie Yu has been involved in various Entrepreneurial activities throughout his career, and eventually having built up a part time business between 2001-2003, he went full time in 2004 with Lady Luck Media. Before then, he has worked for British Aerospace, FNX and Derivatech, where he consulted for top tier banks such as Bank of America, ABM Amro and Bank of China. Eddie firmly believes that with social entrepreneurship and technological advancements we can create a world without offices and impact climate change for the betterment of our planet. ...less info

Source: http://www.businesscomputingworld.co.uk/tablet-pcs-have-changed-the-rules-of-website-design/

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Transportation Services At The London Gatwick Airport

London Gatwick airport is one of the many airports serving the great London. The capital and metropolitan city of London is served by six major international airports and many other local airports as well. The major international airports serving London include Heathrow at the top with five terminals and highest traffic followed by Gatwick, Stansted, London City, Luton and London Southend airports. Gatwick is the second largest and busiest airport of London. The importance of Gatwick airport can be known from the fact that an approximate of more than 30 million passengers uses Gatwick as their gateway to and from London. The London Gatwick airport offers some of the best transportation services among all airports of London. You get diverse options for traveling to and from the London Gatwick airport however you can choose from them depending on your budget as well as requirements. Each of the transportation service available at the London Gatwick airport is mentioned below:

Shuttle Transfer Services
Gatwick airport offers diverse transportation methods for the passengers passing through its gates. Whether you are intending to catch a flight from Gatwick or are expected to land at the Gatwick airport, you do not need to waste your time worrying about your transfer service as the London Gatwick airport offers all kinds of transportation for traveling to all destinations across the country. You get multiple options from highly economical and budget oriented to the most comfortable and luxurious means of transportation. The most preferred choice for traveling to or from Gatwick for the residents of London is the Gatwick Express train service which travels at frequent intervals from central London to airport. Aside from the train service, there are private buses as well as scheduled nonstop coaches operated by National Express providing nationwide transfer services from Gatwick airport.

Car hire at Gatwick airport
At the London Gatwick airport, you will find many desks of UKs popular private car hire companies in both, Gatwick North and Gatwick South terminal buildings. You can hire a car directly after landing at Gatwick airport to give a great start to your journey to London. The private hire cars are equipped with all the amenities including the GPS that assists you in finding desired locations and traveling without any human guide. Whether you require a car from or car to Gatwick airport, you can easily hire it upon arrival at cost effective rates.

Taxi hire from Gatwick airport
Majority of the tourists, especially those arriving at the airport find it more convenient to hire a private taxi because they are completely unaware of roads and directions and feel much hesitated upon arrival. In this regard a private taxi which includes estate saloons as well as MPVs, takes you to your destination within time with convenience. The taxi drivers of Gatwick airport taxis are local to London therefore you can ask them to drop you anywhere. They can help you get to your destination within time via shortest route. Whether you require a taxi hire to Gatwick airport or from the airport, you can completely rely on the Gatwick airport taxi services.

About the Author:
Whether you require a car from or car to Gatwick airport, you can easily hire it upon arrival at cost effective rates. If you require a taxi hire to Gatwick airport or from the airport, you can completely rely on the Gatwick airport taxi.

Source: http://www.articlesnatch.com/Article/Transportation-Services-At-The-London-Gatwick-Airport/4229132

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Google's Bag Full of Goodies; Nexus Tablet, LG Nexus 4, Android 4.2

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Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/si-techproduct/~3/p-_tmowXhGA/Googles-Bag-Full-of-Goodies-Nexus-Tablet-LG-Nexus-4-Android-42--nid-132491.html

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Rupert Sanders' Wife Liberty Ross:"I'm Very Happy"